Vermont Green 3-1 Black Rock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.1pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.2pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vermont Green EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Black Rock EU Bookmakers 15%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.70
+24% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vermont Green
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Black Rock
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
11.06.2025 Black Rock Black Rock 0-2 HT 0-1 Vermont Green Vermont Green USL2
02.07.2023 Vermont Green Vermont Green 3-1 HT 1-0 Black Rock Black Rock USL2
05.06.2023 Black Rock Black Rock 0-2 HT 0-0 Vermont Green Vermont Green USL2
POST-MATCH Vermont Green vs Black Rock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vermont Green beat Black Rock 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vermont Green as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vermont Green had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Vermont Green and 0.33 for Black Rock.

What was the final score of Vermont Green vs Black Rock?

Vermont Green 3-1 Black Rock in the USA - USL League 2 on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vermont Green vs Black Rock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vermont Green win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Vermont Green 57%, draw 21%, Black Rock 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vermont Green), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vermont Green) ✓ Over 2.5
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