Quilmes 0-1 San Martin San Juan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 6 Aug 2024

📅06/08/2024 · 🕒03:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
37%
2.83
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.44
No
63%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.9pp
37%
Draw
32%
+4.9pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.9pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.5pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.2pp
63%
BTTS No
63%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +7%
1.23/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/0.94
+7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY San Martin San Juan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
206 Passes 315
64% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 0-3 HT 0-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
04.06.2022 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 2-1 HT 0-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
06.05.2017 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-0 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJ
03.10.2015 Quilmes Quilmes 2-0 HT 1-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
07.04.2013 Quilmes Quilmes 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
23.09.2012 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 4-0 HT 3-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJ
POST-MATCH Quilmes vs San Martin San Juan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin San Juan squeezed past Quilmes 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 37% / 27% — and on the day San Martin San Juan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin San Juan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Quilmes and 1.17 for San Martin San Juan.

What was the final score of Quilmes vs San Martin San Juan?

Quilmes 0-1 San Martin San Juan in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quilmes vs San Martin San Juan?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 36%, draw 37%, San Martin San Juan 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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