New Lambton FC 1-7 Newcastle Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Aug 2024

📅06/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.65
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
44%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
18%
+12.4pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.7pp
44%
Away Win
61%
-17.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New Lambton FC EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Olympic EU Bookmakers 66%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.61/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.79
-51% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +27%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
250 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New Lambton FC
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Newcastle Olympic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.04.2024 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 2-1 HT 1-0 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNPL
22.07.2023 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 2-1 HT 1-1 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNSW
28.04.2023 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
POST-MATCH New Lambton FC vs Newcastle Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Olympic ran out comfortable winners over New Lambton FC 7-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newcastle Olympic as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Newcastle Olympic led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for New Lambton FC and 2.00 for Newcastle Olympic.

What was the final score of New Lambton FC vs Newcastle Olympic?

New Lambton FC 1-7 Newcastle Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New Lambton FC vs Newcastle Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle Olympic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split New Lambton FC 31%, draw 25%, Newcastle Olympic 44%. The final score 1-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle Olympic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle Olympic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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