Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro v Fortaleza — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
2-1
HT 2-1
Cruzeiro
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
Cruzeiro 1-2 Fortaleza — Actual Match Statistics
Fortaleza edged past Cruzeiro 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Cruzeiro at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cruzeiro had 68% of the ball to Fortaleza's 32%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.82 to 1.23.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.83 for Fortaleza.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza?
Cruzeiro 1-2 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 47%, draw 27%, Fortaleza 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.