Chapecoense vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chapecoense v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals
Chapecoense vs Mirassol FC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Mirassol FC
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Chapecoense
BR2
Chapecoense 0-1 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics
Mirassol FC edged past Chapecoense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Mirassol FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Chapecoense had 45% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 55%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.36 to 0.17 — on chances, Chapecoense could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mirassol FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Chapecoense and 1.00 for Mirassol FC.
What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Mirassol FC?
Chapecoense 0-1 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Mirassol FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 39%, draw 32%, Mirassol FC 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chapecoense) went the other way.