Vila Nova vs Paysandu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vila Nova v Paysandu — Team-Based Signals
Vila Nova vs Paysandu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Paysandu
BRVK
0-0
HT 0-0
Vila Nova
BRE3
2-0
HT 1-0
Paysandu
BRE3
0-0
HT 0-0
Paysandu
BR2
1-2
HT 0-0
Vila Nova
BR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Vila Nova
BR2
Vila Nova 2-2 Paysandu — Actual Match Statistics
Vila Nova and Paysandu shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vila Nova had 49% of the ball to Paysandu's 51%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 0.65 to 0.41.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vila Nova had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vila Nova and 0.50 for Paysandu.
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Paysandu?
Vila Nova 2-2 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Paysandu?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 39%, draw 32%, Paysandu 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.