Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Villarreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Aug 2024

Borussia Dortmund
2-2 HT 0-2
Villarreal
📅06/08/2024 · 🕒19:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Friendlies – 2024

Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.38
No
48%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.89
2-3 Goals
38%
2.17
4-5 Goals
27%
2.47
6+ Goals
11%
4.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.47
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
10%
12.0
X/1
19%
5.13
X/2
8%
8.22
X/X
8%
6.21
2/1
8%
20.05
2/2
12%
4.76
2/X
5%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.1pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal EU Bookmakers 31%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.82/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.66
-58% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
427 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
10.1 Crosses 6.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Villarreal
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.96 xG 0.70
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
491 Passes 339
89% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
22.07.2022 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-2 HT 0-1 Villarreal Villarreal HAZ
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund and Villarreal shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Borussia Dortmund at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?

Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Villarreal in the Friendlies on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 50%, draw 23%, Villarreal 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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