Matlock Town 0-3 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Aug 2024

📅06/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
56%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.88
6+ Goals
8%
8.21
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.58 — our 29% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
56%
Away Win
59%
-2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.2pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matlock Town EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matlock Town
0-3
AWAY Mansfield Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Matlock Town vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mansfield Town ran out comfortable winners over Matlock Town 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mansfield Town as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Matlock Town had 50% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 50%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Matlock Town vs Mansfield Town?

Matlock Town 0-3 Mansfield Town in the Friendlies on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matlock Town vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Matlock Town 20%, draw 24%, Mansfield Town 56%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mansfield Town), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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