Atletico Nacional 1-1 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 6 Aug 2024

📅06/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
14%
5.36
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.17
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
46%
4-5
18%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Atletico Nacional The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas The Market 19%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.04 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.85
0.59 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.38
Strong Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Strong
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.12 xG 1.14
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 12
186 Passes 349
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.02.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
05.10.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOLK
28.09.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLK
31.08.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
05.06.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
02.06.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-0 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
1 - 1
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.04 xG 0.66
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
398 Passes 248
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 8
7 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW Atletico Nacional vs Aguilas Doradas
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Atletico Nacional and Aguilas Doradas with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1.

File this under upsets: a 62% lean on Atletico Nacional went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (57%) came in, no to both teams scoring (56%) didn't.

The match data tells the story: Atletico Nacional had 60% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 40%, shots finished 22-16, expected goals 1.04 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico Nacional and 0.50 for Aguilas Doradas.

Atletico Nacional vs Aguilas Doradas Result & Final Score

Atletico Nacional 1 - 1 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atletico Nacional vs Aguilas Doradas Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 62%, draw 24%, Aguilas Doradas 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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