Polonia Bytom 2-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 6 Aug 2024

📅06/08/2024 · 🕒20:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+10.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Bytom
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.03.2024 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 0-0 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
26.08.2023 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 4-2 HT 1-1 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
2-0
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs Jastrzebie Zdroj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom beat Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Polonia Bytom as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Polonia Bytom had 54% of the ball to Jastrzebie Zdroj's 46%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jastrzebie Zdroj led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Polonia Bytom and 2.00 for Jastrzebie Zdroj.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Polonia Bytom 2-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj in the Poland - Cup on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 43%, draw 24%, Jastrzebie Zdroj 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Bytom) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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