Pogon Siedlce 0-2 Lech Poznan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 6 Aug 2024

📅06/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
26%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
74%
-20.7pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.1pp
26%
Away Win
10%
+16.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan II EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +73%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Siedlce
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Lech Poznan II
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 2-0 HT 1-0 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II POL2
17.09.2023 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 0-4 HT 0-1 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
29.04.2023 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 3-0 HT 1-0 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II POL2
05.10.2022 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 1-2 HT 1-1 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
27.07.2022 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 2-3 HT 0-2 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POLK
20.03.2022 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 0-3 HT 0-3 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Siedlce
0-2
AWAY Lech Poznan II
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pogon Siedlce vs Lech Poznan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lech Poznan II got the better of Pogon Siedlce 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Pogon Siedlce at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Pogon Siedlce had 54% of the ball to Lech Poznan II's 46%, shots finished 21-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Siedlce had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Pogon Siedlce and 0.50 for Lech Poznan II.

What was the final score of Pogon Siedlce vs Lech Poznan II?

Pogon Siedlce 0-2 Lech Poznan II in the Poland - Cup on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Siedlce vs Lech Poznan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Siedlce win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 53%, draw 21%, Lech Poznan II 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Pogon Siedlce), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pogon Siedlce) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POLK More Poland - Cup
6 Aug 2024
17:00 Hutnik Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin II Analysis →
20:00 Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Stomil Olsztyn Analysis →
20:20 Polonia Bytom vs Jastrzebie Zdroj Analysis →