Pogon Siedlce 2-0 Lech Poznan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.94
6+ Goals
13%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan II EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +25%
1.77/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.50
-5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Siedlce
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Lech Poznan II
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 0-4 HT 0-1 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
29.04.2023 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 3-0 HT 1-0 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II POL2
05.10.2022 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 1-2 HT 1-1 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
27.07.2022 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 2-3 HT 0-2 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POLK
20.03.2022 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 0-3 HT 0-3 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
15.09.2021 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 2-0 HT 1-0 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Siedlce
2-0
AWAY Lech Poznan II
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pogon Siedlce vs Lech Poznan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Siedlce got the better of Lech Poznan II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pogon Siedlce as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pogon Siedlce had 52% of the ball to Lech Poznan II's 48%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Siedlce had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Pogon Siedlce and 0.50 for Lech Poznan II.

What was the final score of Pogon Siedlce vs Lech Poznan II?

Pogon Siedlce 2-0 Lech Poznan II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Siedlce vs Lech Poznan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Siedlce win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 49%, draw 24%, Lech Poznan II 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Siedlce) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Siedlce) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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