Stomil Olsztyn 3-0 Hutnik Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
43%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.64
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
43%
Away Win
35%
+8.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stomil Olsztyn EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hutnik Krakow EU Bookmakers 38%
+14% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.20/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.40
-14% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stomil Olsztyn
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hutnik Krakow
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 5
17.09.2023 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 2-1 HT 1-0 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn POL2
21.05.2023 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 1-1 HT 0-0 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn POL2
15.10.2022 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn 4-3 HT 1-2 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stomil Olsztyn
3-0
AWAY Hutnik Krakow
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stomil Olsztyn vs Hutnik Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stomil Olsztyn ran out comfortable winners over Hutnik Krakow 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hutnik Krakow at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Stomil Olsztyn had 41% of the ball to Hutnik Krakow's 59%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stomil Olsztyn and 2.00 for Hutnik Krakow.

What was the final score of Stomil Olsztyn vs Hutnik Krakow?

Stomil Olsztyn 3-0 Hutnik Krakow in the Poland - 2nd Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stomil Olsztyn vs Hutnik Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hutnik Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stomil Olsztyn 30%, draw 27%, Hutnik Krakow 43%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hutnik Krakow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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