SKRA Czestochowa 3-2 SKRA Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.56
Over 2.5
32%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.99
No
62%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.38
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
5.06
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.38 — our 42% vs market 35.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.2pp
35%
Draw
29%
+6.1pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
60%
+7.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
40%
-7.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.9pp
62%
BTTS No
54%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.60/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.83
+7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKRA Czestochowa
0W-1D-0L
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-1 HT 1-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
POST-MATCH SKRA Czestochowa vs SKRA Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKRA Czestochowa edged past SKRA Czestochowa 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 35% / 32%) promised a tight game; SKRA Czestochowa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of SKRA Czestochowa vs SKRA Czestochowa?

SKRA Czestochowa 3-2 SKRA Czestochowa in the Poland - 2nd Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKRA Czestochowa vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split SKRA Czestochowa 33%, draw 35%, SKRA Czestochowa 32%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL2 More Poland - 2nd Division
30 Mar 2024
14:00 Stomil Olsztyn vs Hutnik Krakow Analysis →
15:00 Zaglebie Lubin II vs Olimpia Grudziadz Analysis →
16:30 Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Kalisz Analysis →
17:00 Pogon Siedlce vs Lech Poznan II Analysis →
19:00 LKS Lodz II vs Polonia Bytom Analysis →