Afturelding 1-1 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 6 Aug 2025

📅06/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.82
Over 2.5
58%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.75
No
39%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
51%
-9.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
49%
+9.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.0pp
39%
BTTS No
47%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 30%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.53/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/2.01
+4% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
264 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
18.6 Crosses 21.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vestri
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.39 xG 1.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
499 Passes 472
89% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.05.2025 Vestri Vestri 2-0 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL
30.09.2023 Vestri Vestri 1-0 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
16.08.2023 Vestri Vestri 2-2 HT 2-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
10.06.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 3-1 HT 2-0 Vestri Vestri İZL1
16.07.2022 Vestri Vestri 1-4 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
24.05.2022 Vestri Vestri 2-3 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afturelding
1-1
AWAY Vestri
3.42 xG 0.60
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
565 Passes 194
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
41 Box Touches 11
32 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding and Vestri shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Afturelding at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Afturelding had 70% of the ball to Vestri's 30%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 3.42 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Afturelding had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Afturelding and 1.50 for Vestri.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs Vestri?

Afturelding 1-1 Vestri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 48%, draw 29%, Vestri 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Afturelding), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Afturelding) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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6 Aug 2025
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