Vestri 2-0 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vestri EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 82%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
38.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vestri
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Afturelding
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 5
30.09.2023 Vestri Vestri 1-0 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
16.08.2023 Vestri Vestri 2-2 HT 2-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
10.06.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 3-1 HT 2-0 Vestri Vestri İZL1
16.07.2022 Vestri Vestri 1-4 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
24.05.2022 Vestri Vestri 2-3 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZK
14.05.2022 Afturelding Afturelding 0-2 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vestri
2-0
AWAY Afturelding
1.23 xG 1.39
45% Ball Possession 55%
3 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
472 Passes 499
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vestri vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vestri beat Afturelding 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Vestri made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vestri had 45% of the ball to Afturelding's 55%, shots finished 3-14, expected goals 1.23 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Afturelding led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vestri and 2.00 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of Vestri vs Afturelding?

Vestri 2-0 Afturelding in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vestri vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated an Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vestri 36%, draw 26%, Afturelding 37%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Afturelding) ✗ BTTS Yes
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