Valur 6-1 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.5pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.6pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.96/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/2.50
+10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
34.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
22.2 Crosses 26.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
3W-2D-1L
AWAY İA Akranes
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.49 xG 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
423 Passes 273
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
46 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.02.2025 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-1 Valur Valur İZLK
26.10.2024 Valur Valur 6-1 HT 4-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
28.06.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-2 HT 2-1 Valur Valur İZL
07.04.2024 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
20.03.2024 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
18.02.2023 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
6-1
AWAY İA Akranes
3.98 xG 1.53
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
522 Passes 246
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
49 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valur vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur swept aside İA Akranes 6-1. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Valur had 64% of the ball to İA Akranes's 36%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 3.98 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Valur and 1.00 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of Valur vs İA Akranes?

Valur 6-1 İA Akranes in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Valur 56%, draw 21%, İA Akranes 23%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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