İA Akranes 1-1 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
38%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.38
No
46%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+9.1pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.2pp
38%
Away Win
53%
-15.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.9pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 57%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.84/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.86
+62% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -45%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Valur
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.00 xG 2.49
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
273 Passes 423
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 46
22 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Valur Valur 6-1 HT 4-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
28.06.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-2 HT 2-1 Valur Valur İZL
07.04.2024 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
20.03.2024 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
18.02.2023 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZLK
08.08.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-2 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
1-1
AWAY Valur
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İA Akranes and Valur couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, İA Akranes had 44% of the ball to Valur's 56%, shots finished 14-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for İA Akranes and 2.50 for Valur.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Valur?

İA Akranes 1-1 Valur in the Iceland - League Cup on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 34%, draw 28%, Valur 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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