Grindavik 4-3 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.04
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
39%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
21%
+10.2pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.2pp
39%
Away Win
57%
-18.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-15.1pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grindavik EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 62%
+59% / +59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -66% / -66%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-24% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grindavik
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Vestri
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Grindavik Grindavik 1-0 HT 1-0 Vestri Vestri İZLK
02.08.2023 Grindavik Grindavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Vestri Vestri İZL1
27.05.2023 Vestri Vestri 0-2 HT 0-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
12.03.2023 Vestri Vestri 0-2 HT 0-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZLK
27.08.2022 Grindavik Grindavik 2-2 HT 0-1 Vestri Vestri İZL1
25.06.2022 Vestri Vestri 2-1 HT 0-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
POST-MATCH Grindavik vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grindavik edged past Vestri 4-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Grindavik made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grindavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Grindavik and 0.83 for Vestri.

What was the final score of Grindavik vs Vestri?

Grindavik 4-3 Vestri in the Iceland - League Cup on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grindavik vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vestri win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Grindavik 32%, draw 29%, Vestri 39%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vestri) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vestri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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