Grindavik 1-0 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
34%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
31%
+11.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
45%
-10.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-11.1pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grindavik EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grindavik
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vestri
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2023 Grindavik Grindavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Vestri Vestri İZL1
27.05.2023 Vestri Vestri 0-2 HT 0-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
12.03.2023 Vestri Vestri 0-2 HT 0-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZLK
27.08.2022 Grindavik Grindavik 2-2 HT 0-1 Vestri Vestri İZL1
25.06.2022 Vestri Vestri 2-1 HT 0-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
06.08.2021 Grindavik Grindavik 1-2 HT 0-1 Vestri Vestri İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grindavik
1-0
AWAY Vestri
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Grindavik vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grindavik edged past Vestri 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Grindavik as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grindavik had 41% of the ball to Vestri's 59%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Grindavik and 1.17 for Vestri.

What was the final score of Grindavik vs Vestri?

Grindavik 1-0 Vestri in the Iceland - League Cup on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grindavik vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grindavik win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Grindavik 43%, draw 23%, Vestri 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grindavik) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Grindavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZLK More Iceland - League Cup
24 Feb 2024
14:00 Valur vs Fram Reykjavik Analysis →
16:00 Fylkir vs IR Reykjavik Analysis →
17:00 Throttur Reykjavik vs İB Vestmannaeyjar Analysis →
18:00 HK Kopavogur vs Thor Akureyri Analysis →
18:00 Vikingur R. vs KA Akureyri Analysis →