Fylkir 0-1 IR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.96
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.5
No
55%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.8pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.8pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
62%
-17.8pp
55%
BTTS No
38%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fylkir EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 19%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +70% / +70%
1.56/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-44% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fylkir
1W-0D-0L
AWAY IR Reykjavik
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
22.01.2024 Fylkir Fylkir 3-1 HT 1-0 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZLRT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fylkir
0-1
AWAY IR Reykjavik
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fylkir vs IR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IR Reykjavik nicked a narrow win over Fylkir 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fylkir at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Fylkir had 63% of the ball to IR Reykjavik's 37%, shots finished 15-5.

What was the final score of Fylkir vs IR Reykjavik?

Fylkir 0-1 IR Reykjavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fylkir vs IR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fylkir win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Fylkir 55%, draw 21%, IR Reykjavik 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Fylkir), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fylkir) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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