Valur 2-1 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.34
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
4.0
Over 2.5
62%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.38
No
45%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-9.2pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.2pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+5.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
22%
+16.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
78%
-16.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.0pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
3.45/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.59
+14% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
443 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.83 xG 1.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
482 Passes 343
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 28
25 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-2 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZLRT
23.07.2023 Valur Valur 1-0 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
23.04.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-3 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
29.08.2022 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
29.05.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-2 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
11.08.2014 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
2-1
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valur vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur nicked a narrow win over Fram Reykjavik 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Valur had 55% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 45%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fram Reykjavik led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Valur and 1.50 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Valur vs Fram Reykjavik?

Valur 2-1 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Valur 60%, draw 20%, Fram Reykjavik 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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