06/08/2025
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-3
2nd Score
1-2
Egersunds vs Lilleström Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
14%
21%
Draw
19%
64%
Away Win
67%
44%
Under 2.5
35%
56%
Over 2.5
65%
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
46%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Egersunds v Lilleström — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Egersunds
EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lilleström
EU Bookmakers 71%
+12% /
+12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-6% /
-6%
2.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.76/0.77
+88%
/
+5%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+25%
/
+16%
43%
Ball Possession
57%
10
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
7
280 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
425 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.7
Egersunds vs Lilleström Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Egersunds
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Lilleström
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
37%
Ball Possession
63%
6
Total Shots
28
2
Shots on Target
10
2
Corners
15
4
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Egersunds vs Lilleström
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lilleström got the better of Egersunds 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Egersunds vs Lilleström?
Egersunds 0-2 Lilleström in the Norway - 1st Division on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Egersunds vs Lilleström?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Egersunds 14%, draw 21%, Lilleström 64%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Lilleström)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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