Stabaek vs Aalesund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stabaek v Aalesund — Team-Based Signals
Stabaek vs Aalesund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Stabaek
NOR
1-0
HT 0-0
Aalesund
NOR
4-0
HT 1-0
Aalesund
NOR
Stabaek 1-2 Aalesund — Actual Match Statistics
Aalesund squeezed past Stabaek 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Aalesund as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Stabaek had 44% of the ball to Aalesund's 56%, shots finished 13-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stabaek had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stabaek and 1.33 for Aalesund.
What was the final score of Stabaek vs Aalesund?
Stabaek 1-2 Aalesund in the Norway - 1st Division on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stabaek vs Aalesund?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stabaek 34%, draw 25%, Aalesund 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.