Aalesund 1-1 Stabaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 1 Apr 2024

Aalesund
1-1 HT 0-0
Stabaek
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2024

Aalesund vs Stabaek Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.64
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.32
6+ Goals
15%
12.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.32 — our 28% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aalesund v Stabaek — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.65/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.62
+3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Aalesund vs Stabaek Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Stabaek
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.84 xG 1.22
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
267 Passes 368
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Aalesund Aalesund 1-1 HT 1-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
13.05.2023 Stabaek Stabaek 1-0 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
18.10.2020 Stabaek Stabaek 4-0 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
19.07.2020 Aalesund Aalesund 1-3 HT 1-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
09.12.2018 Aalesund Aalesund 1-1 HT 1-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
05.12.2018 Stabaek Stabaek 1-0 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Stabaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund and Stabaek shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aalesund at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stabaek led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Aalesund and 1.83 for Stabaek.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Stabaek?

Aalesund 1-1 Stabaek in the Norway - 1st Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Stabaek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 41%, draw 23%, Stabaek 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aalesund), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalesund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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