Kongsvinger 2-1 Ranheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.48
2-3 Goals
40%
2.01
4-5 Goals
23%
2.66
6+ Goals
12%
6.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.48 — our 25% vs market 13.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.8pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ranheim EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.53/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.34
-23% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongsvinger
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ranheim
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2023 Ranheim Ranheim 1-4 HT 0-2 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
11.06.2023 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 3-0 HT 1-0 Ranheim Ranheim NOR1
10.10.2022 Ranheim Ranheim 0-2 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
04.07.2022 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 2-2 HT 0-0 Ranheim Ranheim NOR1
24.10.2020 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-0 HT 0-0 Ranheim Ranheim NOR1
31.07.2020 Ranheim Ranheim 3-2 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kongsvinger
2-1
AWAY Ranheim
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kongsvinger vs Ranheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger squeezed past Ranheim 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kongsvinger as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kongsvinger had 45% of the ball to Ranheim's 55%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kongsvinger had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Kongsvinger and 1.00 for Ranheim.

What was the final score of Kongsvinger vs Ranheim?

Kongsvinger 2-1 Ranheim in the Norway - 1st Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongsvinger vs Ranheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kongsvinger 47%, draw 24%, Ranheim 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongsvinger), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✓ Over 2.5
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