Mjondalen 1-1 Raufoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.94
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
18.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Raufoss EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.61/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.74
-1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjondalen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Raufoss
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
07.06.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 0-4 HT 0-2 Raufoss Raufoss NOK
16.05.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 3-0 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
04.08.2022 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-2 HT 0-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
07.07.2022 Raufoss Raufoss 2-1 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
03.07.2016 Raufoss Raufoss 1-0 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjondalen
1-1
AWAY Raufoss
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mjondalen vs Raufoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjondalen and Raufoss shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Mjondalen at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mjondalen had 47% of the ball to Raufoss's 53%, shots finished 9-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raufoss led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mjondalen and 1.50 for Raufoss.

What was the final score of Mjondalen vs Raufoss?

Mjondalen 1-1 Raufoss in the Norway - 1st Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjondalen vs Raufoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjondalen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mjondalen 46%, draw 27%, Raufoss 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mjondalen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mjondalen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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