Stabaek vs Aalesund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stabaek v Aalesund — Team-Based Signals
Stabaek vs Aalesund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Stabaek
NOR
1-0
HT 0-0
Aalesund
NOR
4-0
HT 1-0
Aalesund
NOR
1-3
HT 1-1
Stabaek
NOR
1-1
HT 1-0
Stabaek
NOR
Stabaek 1-4 Aalesund — Actual Match Statistics
Aalesund swept aside Stabaek 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Stabaek at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Stabaek had 52% of the ball to Aalesund's 48%, shots finished 15-17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stabaek had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stabaek and 0.67 for Aalesund.
What was the final score of Stabaek vs Aalesund?
Stabaek 1-4 Aalesund in the Norway - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stabaek vs Aalesund?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stabaek 43%, draw 25%, Aalesund 32%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stabaek), Under 2.5 went the other way.