Sogndal 0-3 Valerenga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
49%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.43
Over 2.5
61%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
30%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
6.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.2pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
49%
Away Win
56%
-6.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sogndal EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga EU Bookmakers 60%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.64/2.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/1.44
+112% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -21%
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
211 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sogndal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Valerenga
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.68 xG 0.94
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
181 Passes 355
65% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.04.2024 Valerenga Valerenga 1-1 HT 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
26.11.2017 Sogndal Sogndal 5-2 HT 2-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
23.04.2017 Valerenga Valerenga 3-0 HT 2-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR
15.07.2016 Valerenga Valerenga 1-1 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR
20.03.2016 Sogndal Sogndal 1-0 HT 1-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
05.10.2014 Valerenga Valerenga 2-1 HT 1-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR
POST-MATCH Sogndal vs Valerenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga ran out comfortable winners over Sogndal 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valerenga as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sogndal and 1.50 for Valerenga.

What was the final score of Sogndal vs Valerenga?

Sogndal 0-3 Valerenga in the Norway - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sogndal vs Valerenga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sogndal 27%, draw 24%, Valerenga 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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