Warta Poznan 1-0 Olimpia Elblag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 6 Aug 2025

📅06/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
1-0
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Olimpia Elblag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warta Poznan edged past Olimpia Elblag 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Warta Poznan as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 64% of the ball to Olimpia Elblag's 36%, shots finished 18-8.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Olimpia Elblag?

Warta Poznan 1-0 Olimpia Elblag in the Poland - Cup on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Olimpia Elblag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warta Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 54%, draw 24%, Olimpia Elblag 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Warta Poznan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Warta Poznan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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