Kalisz 0-2 Jastrzebie Zdroj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 6 Aug 2025

📅06/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.43
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.17
6+ Goals
14%
11.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.17 — our 26% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.2pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.05
-51% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +57%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.06.2025 Kalisz Kalisz 1-1 HT 0-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
10.11.2024 Kalisz Kalisz 0-2 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
10.11.2024 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-2 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
13.03.2024 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-1 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
08.08.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 1-1 HT 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POLK
04.08.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 3-1 HT 1-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
0-2
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Jastrzebie Zdroj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jastrzebie Zdroj got the better of Kalisz 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kalisz at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kalisz had 46% of the ball to Jastrzebie Zdroj's 54%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalisz had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kalisz and 1.00 for Jastrzebie Zdroj.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Kalisz 0-2 Jastrzebie Zdroj in the Poland - Cup on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalisz win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 50%, draw 22%, Jastrzebie Zdroj 28%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kalisz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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