Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-1 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 13 Mar 2024

Jastrzebie Zdroj
1-1 HT 0-1
Kalisz
📅13/03/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Kalisz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jastrzebie Zdroj v Kalisz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 34%
+21% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.10/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.04
+36% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +45%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Kalisz Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Kalisz
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.08.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 1-1 HT 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POLK
04.08.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 3-1 HT 1-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
18.03.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 2-0 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
14.08.2022 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-1 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2

Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-1 Kalisz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
1-1
AWAY Kalisz
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jastrzebie Zdroj and Kalisz shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jastrzebie Zdroj at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Jastrzebie Zdroj had 49% of the ball to Kalisz's 51%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kalisz led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Jastrzebie Zdroj and 1.75 for Kalisz.

What was the final score of Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Kalisz?

Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-1 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jastrzebie Zdroj win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jastrzebie Zdroj 42%, draw 25%, Kalisz 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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