Pogon Siedlce vs Stomil Olsztyn Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pogon Siedlce v Stomil Olsztyn — Team-Based Signals
Pogon Siedlce vs Stomil Olsztyn Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Pogon Siedlce
POL2
4-0
HT 3-0
Pogon Siedlce
POL2
0-0
HT 0-0
Stomil Olsztyn
POL2
0-1
HT 0-1
Stomil Olsztyn
POL1
3-2
HT 2-2
Pogon Siedlce
POL1
Pogon Siedlce 1-0 Stomil Olsztyn — Actual Match Statistics
Pogon Siedlce edged past Stomil Olsztyn 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Pogon Siedlce as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Pogon Siedlce had 59% of the ball to Stomil Olsztyn's 41%, shots finished 20-8.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stomil Olsztyn led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Pogon Siedlce and 1.60 for Stomil Olsztyn.
What was the final score of Pogon Siedlce vs Stomil Olsztyn?
Pogon Siedlce 1-0 Stomil Olsztyn in the Poland - 2nd Division on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pogon Siedlce vs Stomil Olsztyn?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Siedlce win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 45%, draw 27%, Stomil Olsztyn 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Siedlce), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.