Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-2 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒21:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
19.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 32% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.43/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.95
-5% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +56%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Kalisz
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.03.2024 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-1 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
08.08.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 1-1 HT 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POLK
04.08.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 3-1 HT 1-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
18.03.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 2-0 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
14.08.2022 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-1 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
0-2
AWAY Kalisz
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalisz got the better of Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Jastrzebie Zdroj at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Jastrzebie Zdroj had 41% of the ball to Kalisz's 59%, shots finished 4-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kalisz led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Jastrzebie Zdroj and 1.60 for Kalisz.

What was the final score of Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Kalisz?

Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-2 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jastrzebie Zdroj win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jastrzebie Zdroj 44%, draw 27%, Kalisz 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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