Kalisz 0-2 Jastrzebie Zdroj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
19.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.54/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.55
+3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
13.03.2024 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-1 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
08.08.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 1-1 HT 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POLK
04.08.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 3-1 HT 1-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
18.03.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 2-0 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
14.08.2022 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-1 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
0-2
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Jastrzebie Zdroj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jastrzebie Zdroj got the better of Kalisz 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kalisz at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kalisz had 41% of the ball to Jastrzebie Zdroj's 59%, shots finished 4-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kalisz had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Kalisz and 0.80 for Jastrzebie Zdroj.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Kalisz 0-2 Jastrzebie Zdroj in the Poland - 2nd Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalisz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 41%, draw 25%, Jastrzebie Zdroj 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kalisz), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kalisz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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