Kalisz 1-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 7 Jun 2025

📅07/06/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.57/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.36
+5% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.11.2024 Kalisz Kalisz 0-2 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
10.11.2024 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-2 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
13.03.2024 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-1 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
08.08.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 1-1 HT 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POLK
04.08.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 3-1 HT 1-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
18.03.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 2-0 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
1-1
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Jastrzebie Zdroj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalisz and Jastrzebie Zdroj shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kalisz at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kalisz had 43% of the ball to Jastrzebie Zdroj's 57%, shots finished 7-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalisz had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kalisz and 0.83 for Jastrzebie Zdroj.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Kalisz 1-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj in the Poland - 2nd Division on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalisz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 44%, draw 25%, Jastrzebie Zdroj 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kalisz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kalisz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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