Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3-3 Olimpia Elblag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 7 Jun 2025

📅07/06/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.25
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
21%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.17
Over 2.5
59%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
76%
-18.5pp
22%
Draw
15%
+7.1pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+11.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 12%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.76/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.16
-22% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 1-3 HT 0-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki POL2
01.05.2022 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-0 HT 0-0 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3-3
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elblag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and Olimpia Elblag couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 3-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki had 50% of the ball to Olimpia Elblag's 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and 0.50 for Olimpia Elblag.

What was the final score of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elblag?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3-3 Olimpia Elblag in the Poland - 2nd Division on 07/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elblag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 57%, draw 22%, Olimpia Elblag 21%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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