Fiorentina 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Aug 2026

📅06/08/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 31% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.4
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.45
X/1
17%
4.25
X/2
9%
8.5
X/X
10%
4.84
2/1
7%
24.65
2/2
6%
6.89
2/X
7%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.57/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.37
-15% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina
1-1
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fiorentina vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina and Deportivo La Coruna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 8-6.

What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Fiorentina 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna in the Friendlies on 06/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 51%, draw 27%, Deportivo La Coruna 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fiorentina), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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