Pavonese 1-2 Desenzano Calvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Aug 2026

📅06/08/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
55%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.09
No
46%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
32%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
13%
+7.7pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
55%
Away Win
67%
-11.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.7pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pavonese EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Desenzano Calvina EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 514 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pavonese
1-2
AWAY Desenzano Calvina
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Pavonese vs Desenzano Calvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Desenzano Calvina edged past Pavonese 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Desenzano Calvina as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 11-15.

What was the final score of Pavonese vs Desenzano Calvina?

Pavonese 1-2 Desenzano Calvina in the Friendlies on 06/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pavonese vs Desenzano Calvina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Desenzano Calvina win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Pavonese 20%, draw 24%, Desenzano Calvina 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Desenzano Calvina), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Desenzano Calvina) ✓ BTTS Yes
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