Vanersborgs FK 3-1 Grebbestads IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.51
Over Pick
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
39%
4-5
29%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-8.6pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Grebbestads IF EU Bookmakers 40%
-17% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.60/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.83
-10% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs FK
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Grebbestads IF
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2024 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 3-0 HT 2-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
29.09.2023 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 5-4 HT 3-2 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
26.05.2023 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 0-1 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
16.10.2022 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 1-3 HT 1-1 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
25.08.2021 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 4-0 HT 1-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
22.06.2021 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 1-4 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanersborgs FK
3-1
AWAY Grebbestads IF
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs FK vs Grebbestads IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs FK saw off Grebbestads IF 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vanersborgs FK as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vanersborgs FK had 43% of the ball to Grebbestads IF's 57%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vanersborgs FK had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Vanersborgs FK and 1.50 for Grebbestads IF.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs FK vs Grebbestads IF?

Vanersborgs FK 3-1 Grebbestads IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs FK vs Grebbestads IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanersborgs FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs FK 42%, draw 26%, Grebbestads IF 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vanersborgs FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vanersborgs FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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