Grebbestads IF vs Vanersborgs FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Grebbestads IF v Vanersborgs FK — Team-Based Signals
Grebbestads IF vs Vanersborgs FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-4
HT 3-2
Grebbestads IF
İSÇ4
0-1
HT 0-0
Vanersborgs FK
İSÇ4
1-3
HT 1-1
Vanersborgs FK
İSÇ4
4-0
HT 1-0
Grebbestads IF
İSÇ4
1-4
HT 1-0
Vanersborgs FK
İSÇ4
6-4
HT 2-2
Grebbestads IF
İSÇ4
Grebbestads IF ran out comfortable winners over Vanersborgs FK 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Vanersborgs FK at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vanersborgs FK led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Grebbestads IF and 3.83 for Vanersborgs FK.
What was the final score of Grebbestads IF vs Vanersborgs FK?
Grebbestads IF 3-0 Vanersborgs FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Grebbestads IF vs Vanersborgs FK?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vanersborgs FK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Grebbestads IF 35%, draw 20%, Vanersborgs FK 45%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Vanersborgs FK), BTTS Yes went the other way.