Hittarps IK 2-3 Savedalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+1.3pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.1pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.9pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hittarps IK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Savedalen EU Bookmakers 40%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +11%
3.06/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.82
+70% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hittarps IK
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Savedalen
4.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 8
12 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 Hittarps IK Hittarps IK 4-2 HT 2-0 Savedalen Savedalen İSÇ4
28.05.2023 Savedalen Savedalen 4-4 HT 4-0 Hittarps IK Hittarps IK İSÇ4
31.07.2022 Savedalen Savedalen 3-3 HT 1-3 Hittarps IK Hittarps IK İSÇ4
03.04.2022 Hittarps IK Hittarps IK 6-0 HT 3-0 Savedalen Savedalen İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Hittarps IK vs Savedalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Savedalen squeezed past Hittarps IK 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hittarps IK at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hittarps IK had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 4.25 goals for Hittarps IK and 2.25 for Savedalen.

What was the final score of Hittarps IK vs Savedalen?

Hittarps IK 2-3 Savedalen in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hittarps IK vs Savedalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hittarps IK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hittarps IK 43%, draw 20%, Savedalen 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hittarps IK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hittarps IK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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