11/05/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Taftea vs Kiruna FF Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
24%
Draw
23%
27%
Away Win
26%
37%
Under 2.5
38%
63%
Over 2.5
62%
67%
BTTS Yes
60%
33%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Taftea v Kiruna FF — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Taftea
EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kiruna FF
EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% /
-10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+11% /
+11%
1.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.84/1.08
-49%
/
+34%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-40%
/
+82%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
317 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
327 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Taftea vs Kiruna FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Taftea swept aside Kiruna FF 6-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Taftea as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (67%) missed.
What was the final score of Taftea vs Kiruna FF?
Taftea 6-0 Kiruna FF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Taftea vs Kiruna FF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Taftea win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Taftea 49%, draw 24%, Kiruna FF 27%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Taftea), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Taftea)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ4
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11 May 2024