11/05/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-3
Hogaborgs BK vs IFK Berga Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
No
33%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
26%
Draw
24%
42%
Away Win
41%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hogaborgs BK v IFK Berga — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Hogaborgs BK
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
IFK Berga
EU Bookmakers 45%
+56% /
+56%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-28% /
-30%
4.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.20/2.27
+137%
/
+61%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-30%
/
-34%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
3
354 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
310 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Hogaborgs BK vs IFK Berga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
IFK Berga beat Hogaborgs BK 2-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had IFK Berga as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (67%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Hogaborgs BK vs IFK Berga?
Hogaborgs BK 0-2 IFK Berga in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hogaborgs BK vs IFK Berga?
Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Berga win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hogaborgs BK 32%, draw 26%, IFK Berga 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Berga) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (IFK Berga)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ4
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