Aubstadt 1-1 Nürnberg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
0.92/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/2.05
-44% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubstadt
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nürnberg II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-1 HT 0-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
25.08.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 2-1 HT 0-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
05.11.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-0 HT 0-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
16.07.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-3 HT 1-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
05.04.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-1 HT 0-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
31.08.2021 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-1 HT 1-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Aubstadt vs Nürnberg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubstadt and Nürnberg II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aubstadt and 1.33 for Nürnberg II.

What was the final score of Aubstadt vs Nürnberg II?

Aubstadt 1-1 Nürnberg II in the Germany - Regional League on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubstadt vs Nürnberg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aubstadt 38%, draw 27%, Nürnberg II 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aubstadt), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aubstadt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
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