Nürnberg II 1-1 Aubstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.56
No
56%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
60%
-16.2pp
56%
BTTS No
40%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 45%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
2.16/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.56
+45% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg II
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aubstadt
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 2-1 HT 0-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
05.11.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-0 HT 0-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
16.07.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-3 HT 1-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
05.04.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-1 HT 0-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
31.08.2021 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-1 HT 1-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
31.10.2020 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 6-3 HT 1-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg II
1-1
AWAY Aubstadt
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nürnberg II vs Aubstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg II and Aubstadt shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nürnberg II had 41% of the ball to Aubstadt's 59%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Nürnberg II and 1.17 for Aubstadt.

What was the final score of Nürnberg II vs Aubstadt?

Nürnberg II 1-1 Aubstadt in the Germany - Regional League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg II vs Aubstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg II 38%, draw 24%, Aubstadt 38%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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