St. Pauli II 1-1 Havelse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Havelse EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.59/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.81
-7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
442 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Havelse
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.09.2023 Havelse Havelse 1-1 HT 1-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
26.03.2023 Havelse Havelse 2-2 HT 2-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
24.09.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-2 HT 0-1 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
29.09.2019 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-0 HT 1-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
02.12.2015 Havelse Havelse 0-2 HT 0-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
19.04.2015 Havelse Havelse 3-1 HT 1-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH St. Pauli II vs Havelse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II and Havelse couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was St. Pauli II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Pauli II and 1.33 for Havelse.

What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs Havelse?

St. Pauli II 1-1 Havelse in the Germany - Regional League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs Havelse?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 41%, draw 27%, Havelse 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Pauli II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Pauli II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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