Greifswalder SV 2-2 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.1pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.9pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.8pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
2.31/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.92
+8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
525 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Luckenwalde
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
14.01.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-2 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV HAZ
15.09.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-5 HT 0-3 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
14.05.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 6-2 HT 1-2 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
04.12.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-1 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV and Luckenwalde shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Greifswalder SV carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Greifswalder SV had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Greifswalder SV and 2.25 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs Luckenwalde?

Greifswalder SV 2-2 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 56%, draw 19%, Luckenwalde 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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