Paysandu 0-1 Amazonas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.58
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.1pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paysandu EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Amazonas EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.32/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.13
-35% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
27.3 Crosses 9.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paysandu
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Amazonas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.09 xG 0.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
387 Passes 164
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 23
5 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Amazonas Amazonas 1-1 HT 1-1 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
09.09.2023 Amazonas Amazonas 0-1 HT 0-1 Paysandu Paysandu BRE3
08.07.2023 Amazonas Amazonas 1-2 HT 0-1 Paysandu Paysandu BRE3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paysandu
0-1
AWAY Amazonas
1.38 xG 0.50
70% Ball Possession 30%
26 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 2
426 Passes 147
82% Pass Accuracy 62%
33 Box Touches 13
46 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Paysandu vs Amazonas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amazonas nicked a narrow win over Paysandu 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Paysandu at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Paysandu had 70% of the ball to Amazonas's 30%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 1.38 to 0.50 — the balance of chances actually favoured Paysandu.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paysandu had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Paysandu and 0.67 for Amazonas.

What was the final score of Paysandu vs Amazonas?

Paysandu 0-1 Amazonas in the Brazil - Serie B on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Amazonas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 41%, draw 32%, Amazonas 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paysandu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paysandu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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