Amazonas 1-1 Paysandu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.12
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amazonas EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Paysandu EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
Crosses 16.4
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amazonas
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Paysandu
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 6
09.09.2023 Amazonas Amazonas 0-1 HT 0-1 Paysandu Paysandu BRE3
08.07.2023 Amazonas Amazonas 1-2 HT 0-1 Paysandu Paysandu BRE3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
1-1
AWAY Paysandu
0.65 xG 1.09
35% Ball Possession 65%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
164 Passes 387
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Amazonas vs Paysandu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amazonas and Paysandu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Amazonas had 35% of the ball to Paysandu's 65%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.65 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Paysandu led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Amazonas and 1.50 for Paysandu.

What was the final score of Amazonas vs Paysandu?

Amazonas 1-1 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Paysandu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amazonas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 38%, draw 29%, Paysandu 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Amazonas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amazonas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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